GovBot WildfireBY IDEATIONLAB
Wildfire planning · source-backed screening

Understand the evidence before choosing a wildfire project.

GovBot Wildfire brings a real fuel-reduction project, public treatment records and a reference wildfire model into one map-based review.

Start a studyUse the connector

Start with a real landscape

Find a town, draw or upload a project boundary, and review source-backed annual burn probability and LANDFIRE fuel classes. The map supports bounded studies in the contiguous United States; missing source coverage is reported explicitly. French Meadows in California is an optional worked example with county treatment records.

County treatment status and acreage are source records. They are not independently verified completion measurements.

Get a meaningful baseline

For a supported area, the app summarizes annual burn probability from the USDA Forest Service Wildfire Risk to Communities model, with analyzed acreage, valid-data coverage and expected annual area exposed to modeled burning.

The result includes its source, method and limitations. It does not infer risk from satellite-image colors.

What the numbers mean

User studies use the Forest Service FSim 2023 third-edition annual burn-probability raster at its native 270 m grid, representing an end-of-2020 landscape. Fuel classes come separately from LANDFIRE 2024 at 30 m. The optional French Meadows example retains its WRC 2024 product distributed on a 30 m grid from 270 m modeling. A sharper basemap helps navigation; it does not make the risk model more precise.

Average probability describes the annual likelihood at a location across the selected area. It is not the chance of a fire occurring anywhere in that entire area. The annual exposed-area measure is an expectation, not a forecast of next year's burned acres.

This pilot does not calculate treatment effectiveness, property losses, BCA or ROI. Comparing two treatment-unit locations is not a before-and-after treatment analysis.

Sources you can inspect

Published insurance findings retain their original study scope. They are not new calculations by this app, current insurance quotes, or benefits that can be assigned to a different boundary.

Who operates it

GovBot Wildfire is a prototype operated by Ideation Lab, Corp., presented under the IdeationLab brand. It is separate from the public agencies that publish its source data.

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